Explore recent geopolitical events with Jason Pack and Jane Kinninmont, discussing Trump's contradictions, G7 mediation, and the risks of regime change in Iran.
In this episode, Jason Pack and Jane Kinninmont recap the weekend’s events – exploring what role the key international actors like, Trump, the G7, or India can play in providing an off ramp. Jane and Jason discuss the contradictions in Trump’s stance, the role of the G7 and India as potential mediators, and the risks associated with a full regime change in Iran. Plus: could Israel actually lose this war or its population tire of being confined to bomb shelters at night?
Then as they Order the Disorder, Jane and Jason provide their predictions on how it all might end. They disagree agreeably on whether Israel’s war aims of destroying the enrichment facility at Fardow now need to be achieved first or if it is possible to go back to the negotiating table directly.
Producer: George McDonagh
Show note links
Sohrab Ahmari - Iran’s Devastating Hubris
Analysis for Ynet by Raz Zimmt who is one of Israel’s leading experts on Iran, at INSS
Richard Nephew: Can Israel Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Program? Foreign Affairs
An initiative by 21 Iranian and Israeli scholars, writers and artists calling for a ceasefire
Israel-Iran War: 10 Dead, Around 200 Injured In Iranian Strikes
Will The US Deal Iran its Final Blow
Explainer: what we know so far in the Israel-Iran conflict from The Guardian
CNBC: Markets are shrugging off the Israel-Iran conflict. Some strategists warn of complacency
PODCAST HOST
Jason Pack
RUSI Associate Fellow; Host of the Disorder Podcast