News & Comment

I think it's a very serious challenge for Europe but it is not a new challenge because Russia has been waging a below-the-threshold hybrid war against allies for a long tine but as the war drags on [in Ukraine] I think we will see more from the Russian side."

This move risks encouraging competition between allies currying favour with Washington."....the evidence was that the [US] administration did not rely much on process but rather on "perceived loyalty, ideological affinity and the president's whims rather than long-term strategy, threat perception and the need for NATO unity."

The global stockpiles of those missiles that can intercept Russian ballistic missiles have largely been expended in Ukraine and Middle East and production is insufficient to meet demand, so this is a failure of defence planning. If we recall the arguments about defence spending we have been having in the UK recently, this is the consequence of not really investing sufficiently in defence against what is actually quite a predictable threat."