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“The Russians are in a tricky position given the level of attrition they’re taking,” said Nick Reynolds, a battlefield expert at the Royal United Services Institute.

For a long time, gulf countries saw “Iran as the biggest destabilizing force in the region,” and a threat they needed to counter, said H.A. Hellyer, senior fellow in geopolitics, international security and Middle East studies at the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies in London."

“As the saying goes, what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger, and so the BVI should take this opportunity to emerge stronger and put to bed the reputational issues that still dog the islands,” Mr. Keatinge said.