

Even though it faces a range of protests, Syria is unlikely to face popular-led regime change. Instead, unremitting instability and a standoff between protestors and the regime are more likely to follow leading to a combination of piecemeal reforms and more violence. However, internal challenges to the regime should not be ruled out.
Tags: Middle East and North AfricaWater scarcity, although a relatively low priority, is still a concern for the Middle Eastern security agenda. Gulf states in particular can lead the way in ensuring that water co-operation replaces the threat of water conflict.
Tags: Global Security Issues, Middle East and North AfricaWestern intervention in Libya appears to be stalling, and the coalition has responded by committing military advisers and drones. But their priority, for the time being, is to purchase coalition longevity at the price of campaign intensity.
Tags: Europe, Middle East and North AfricaThe validity of the US forces' figures for insurgent caualties is difficult to judge beyond the certainty that they will not be accurate.
Tags: Terrorism, Middle East and North AfricaViolent interventions in the sovereign space of other states are rapidly becoming a familiar feature of contemporary global politics.
Tags: Intelligence, Middle East and North AfricaFor British leaders Iran may seem like a basket case at present, but it has to be handled politically not militarily.
Tags: Europe, Middle East and North Africa
Salvaging the Iran Nuclear Deal: Round One in Vienna, and What Comes Next
Unintended Consequences: Humanitarianism and CTF Compliance
The Imperfect Equilibrium of Russian Civil–Military Relations