Why Russia’s economy is unlikely to collapse even if oil prices fall
10 January 2026
Featured in The Guardian
Russia
The Kremlin has succeeded in selling the war, not as a battle with its near neighbour – its brothers and sisters in Ukraine – but as a war with the west.” On the impact of sanctions so far, he adds: “We are not near the economy being a decisive factor in the Kremlin’s thinking about how to pursue the war.”

