RUSI NewsbriefVOLUME 35ISSUE 2members only

Baltic Military Preparations after Ukraine: A Sufficiently ‘Prickly’ Deterrent?


Despite increasing defence spending, the small Baltic States are unlikely to be able to deter Russian aggression without external support.

In the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and annexation of Crimea, the Baltic States – Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania – have begun to re-appraise their strategic defence postures. Perched on the northeastern fringe of NATO, these three countries, small both in size and population, have felt most keenly the cold winds blowing from the east. With the potential exception of Estonia, which is one of the few European countries to spend at least 2 per cent of its GDP on

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