Polish Border Tensions
Liam O’Shea, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), said the bigger threat of Wagner is not as an overt tool of the Russian or Belarusian state but as a group of thugs with too much time on their hands who might try to get involved in various money-making opportunities such as organized crime. The possibility that they’d help with human smuggling is not implausible. “They’ve proven to be unpredictable,” O’Shea said. “I can see why the Poles would be worried."