Iran and the US
Urban Coningham, research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) told us that rather than regime change, it’s likely Iran will have a “new supreme leader, supported by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps or a clerical leader, who Trump feels he can do business with”. He explained that the US is unlikely to insist on removing the current regime entirely if it can meet its two key aims: controlling Iran’s uranium enrichment (so that it doesn’t extend beyond civilian use and ensuring that the international nuclear watchdog has access to Iran’s facilities) and securing concessions from Iran on its missile production capabilities.
