Op-Eds by RUSI staff and fellows
Will Saudi jets change balance of power in Syria
As a result, and the fact that Saudi aircraft are at least a match for its own, Russia may be forced to leave the Saudi contingent unmolested to conduct strikes against ISIL in areas of northern Syria where rebel forces are the main beneficiaries.
China’s new silk road is designed to cut Russia out of Eurasian trade
President Xi Jinping’s ( 習近平 ) visit to Tehran – the first by a foreign leader since the lifting of sanctions – highlights the potential centrality of Iran to China’s broader regional foreign policy. The opening up of Iran, a country in which China has long maintained substantial interests, means Xi’s “One Belt, One Road” vision can now go cleanly across Eurasia without ever going through Russia. Moscow can be cut out.
Why Assad’s Army has not defected
As another round of Geneva peace talks collapses and the world wonders what’s next for Syria, it is time to begin with the warnings of Henry Kissinger and Zbignew Brzezinski. Kissinger and Brzezinski, the most seasoned and influential U.S. policymakers on the Middle East since World War II, have gone against popular opinion and stated that President Bashar al-Assad has more support than all the opposition groups combined.
Quoted in the Media
The Syria Crisis
Chechen Volunteers Fighting in Syria and Iraq: Report
“Regarding Chechens fighting on Assad’s side—yes, it is quite possible that they fight other Chechens on the other side,” Sutyagin says. “Ramzan Kadyrov recently stated publicly that members of the local Chechen law-enforcement units participated in guarding the Russian air base in Syria. I do not see reasons to doubt that.”
Syria ceasefire deal 'will NOT stop Putin bombing moderate rebels'
Moscow's warplanes bombing terrorist groups in Aleppo will also fall outside the piecemeal agreement.
And Dr Igor Sutyagin, a senior research fellow at defence think tank the Royal United Services Institute, said the Kremlin could now use the cover of attacking ISIS - also known as Daesh - to strike other targets.
Global Terror and Radicalisation
Terrifying weapons cache found at bomb factory 'where ISIS jihadis plotted Russia attacks'
Igor Sutyagin, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, said the war in Syria, state oppression of religious minorities and high youth unemployment had combined to create the "perfect" conditions for radicalisation.
Is Al-Shabab Training Boko Haram Fighters?
The structure of Boko Haram in particular is “nebulous” and so differences in official allegiance may not preclude ground-level cooperation, according to Raffaello Pantucci, director of international security studies at the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies (RUSI).
British Effort to Identify Potential Radicals Spurs Debate Over Profiling
However imperfect, Prevent is about “making teachers aware that some of their kids might go in the direction” of terrorism, said Raffaello Pantucci, director of international security studies at the Royal United Services Institute. He raised the example of four girls from the Bethnal Green Academy in London who traveled to Syria last year.
“Clearly a mini social movement was going on within that school,” he said. “Those teachers now know what to look for and how to tell authorities.”
Charities and terrorism: 'deadly threat' or a distraction from real issues facing sector?
“Charities have the potential to be a weak link,” agrees Tom Keatinge, director of the Royal United Services Institute’s Centre for Financial Crime and Security Studies, who has studied the issue in depth.
‘Use aid budget to reward countries that help us seize criminals’ assets’
Helena Wood, the report’s author, said: “Criminals are moving their assets to countries outside the diplomatic reach of the UK, or to areas where the local technical and legislative ability to trace and seize assets is more limited.
Irish premier Enda Kenny suggests not all IRA weapons were put beyond use
Margaret Gilmour, a senior associate fellow and terrorism expert at the Royal United Services Institute, said it was likely that the Irish police, or Garda, would be able to identify the source of the weapons from the photographs.
Trident and Deterrence
Labour splits deepen over renewal of Trident
Malcolm Chalmers, director of UK defence policy at the think-tank Rusi, said the move was akin to putting the programme on “special measures”.
Trident: the British Question
In the words of Professor Michael Clarke, formerly of the Royal United Services Institute, support for nuclear weapons came to stand “for the defence of the realm in general”. What Clarke calls “the prevailing party folklore” – that embracing unilateral nuclear disarmament had cost Labour the 1983 election – turned it into a party that, at least until Corbyn became its leader, had to be more loyal than the king.
Royal Navy relied on Nato to protect British waters 20 times in 2015
Peter Roberts, a senior research fellow in sea power at the Royal United Services Institute, said the figures followed a “resurgence of Russian submarine activity” off British coasts. He said: “It serves to underscore the need to fast-track the arrival of the UK¹s own MPA, announced in the SDSR, so that as a nation we do not have to be dependent on others.”
As Trade Shifts East, U.K. Seeks to Expand Security Ties With Asia
In January, British Defense Secretary Michael Fallon and Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond visited Japan to meet with their Japanese counterparts. Following the meeting, both sides agreed to explore ways to deepen and expand their security cooperation.
PM 'must change tack over refugee crisis or he will lose EU referendum'
In a speech to the Royal United Services Institute defence thinktank, Cooper will argue that voters who see the EU in chaos over the refugee crisis may respond by wanting to pull up the drawbridge on Europe.
The Guardian 10 February
Britain Will “Drift” Towards EU Exit Unless PM Tackles Refugee Crisis, MP Warns
Speaking after a speech at the Royal United Services Institute, a defence think-tank, Cooper said: “I am worried that we will drift towards Brexit if the prime minister doesn’t do more in order to be able to be part of a Europe-wide strategy to deal with the refugee crisis.
Buzzfeed 10 February