RUSI NewsbriefVOLUME 34ISSUE 2members only

The Future of Libya: Is ‘Pakistanisation’ a Foregone Conclusion?

In the face of ongoing policies of appeasing opponents and political infighting, can the Libyan central state survive intact?

More than three years after the arrest of human-rights activist Fathi Terbil in Benghazi sparked Libya’s anti-Qadhafi uprisings, Libyans are still in search of a shared political vision and a coherent roadmap for a transition to constitutional governance. It remains to be seen whether Libya will follow in the footsteps of its neighbours – whose revolutions began only weeks before Libya’s – by either generating a constitution and a compromise caretaker government, as in

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