RUSI JournalVolume 161Issue 3members only

The Day After: What to Expect in post-Islamic State Mosul

Even if the Islamic State is ousted from Mosul, the Iraqi government will face a formidable challenge in preventing further conflict within one of the country's largest cities

Over recent months, the Islamic State (IS) in Syria and Iraq has lost territory to the Syrian army, opposition forces in Syria, the reorganised Iraqi Security Forces and the Hashed Al-Sha’bi (Popular Mobilization Forces – PMF), as well as to Kurdish Peshmerga forces in Iraq. These losses have led to heightened speculation that an assault on the IS stronghold of Mosul may happen sooner rather than later. However, with such speculation comes the fear of ‘the day after’, and

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Gareth Stansfield

Senior Associate Fellow

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