The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action between Iran and the P5+1 was almost universally welcomed. But can the P5+1 deliver the promised sanctions relief? Or will banks, heavily fined for breaching Iranian sanctions remain risk-averse, restricting opportunity for economic growth?
Negotiators have made commendable progress in their effort to reach a comprehensive agreement. Yet disagreements on sanctions relief, inspections and centrifuge research could still prove insurmountable.
North Korea continues to play games with its regional neighbours, shielded in part by its Cold War allies in the United Nations Security Council, and emboldened by its tactics and growing military capabilities. The question is what can anyone do about it?
In a major policy speech on nuclear issues, Prime Minister Gordon Brown recently suggested that Trident could be placed on the international negotiation table should there be a serious move towards multilateral disarmament. If such a gambit were to succeed, it would require something more than a leap of faith in trust.
By Christopher Coker and Greg Mills
This article first appeared in Business Day, South Africa on 4 March 2009
THERE is never any difficulty getting security practitioners — soldiers, sailors, pilots, police and even the intelligence services — to agree on the mechanics of co-operation. For the common views of security establishments are a product of training, technology and, of...
A leaked EU report recognises that diplomatic efforts to halt Iran’s nuclear weapons programme have failed. Member states must decide whether they can accept a nuclear Iran, and what can be done to stop its programme.
While the Iranian acquisition of nuclear weapons would, of course, have enormous strategic ramifications throughout the region and beyond, it is far from certain that it would provoke a nuclear arms race with any country. Much more likely, instead, is an arms race to acquire a clear edge in the means to wage conventional war.
The multinational (that is, Ethiopian and US) intervention in Somalia has attracted a great deal of comment and criticism. However, despite its flaws, this intervention
may yet have a positive impact. The current Somali experiment in power-sharing might just work.