Five years of war in Yemen have caused one of today’s worst man-made humanitarian crises. To resolve the conflict the Biden administration will have to grasp the nettle of subnational governance reform and be prepared to work with – not against – the Houthis in finding a sustainable political settlement.
Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi, Darya Dolzikova and Tom Plant
UK and US policy towards Iran has diverged substantially in recent years, and both countries need to work hard to restore their partnership. The UK can do its part through a re-energised agenda on the Iran nuclear file, and towards Middle Eastern security more broadly.
Joe Biden is likely to follow a trajectory of path dependency in the Middle East, by leading from behind, delegating rather than implementing, being disruptive rather than constructive, and thus protracting conflict resolutions.
The Trump administration appears keen to further reduce troop levels in Afghanistan, and for the Afghan government and Taliban to start formal negotiations. However, key security threats to the US and its allies in Afghanistan remain unresolved and a sustainable peace at this juncture is highly unlikely.