For all the Sturm und Drang over the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran, neither side has answered the crucial question the Trump administration faces if it abrogates the deal: ‘And then what?’
This paper examines the implications of the US Third Offset Strategy for the UK. It finds that UK defence equipment capabilities costing £16 billion a year are increasingly vulnerable to low-cost, technology-rich weapons from hostile states. It argues that the UK government has focused more on offensive systems over protective capabilities, and it calls for a commitment to research, innovation...
China’s sudden declaration of an Air Defence Identification Zone covering the uninhabited Senkaku islands is not intended to extend Chinese airspace as part of an area-denial/anti-access strategy. China’s real aim is instead to strengthen their quasi-legal territory claims in the long term.
The UK can do little to affect the Syrian civil war. But it is shoring up its interests on the periphery of the conflagration, reinforcing the UK’s military reorientation East of Suez. The question is whether, in light of Parliament’s vote last month, the Government now wants to say so.