What is the added value of a 70-year-old politico-military alliance when some of its members no longer share the same values and, more importantly, when the behaviour of one member – Turkey – collides with the security interests of the rest?
The detention of Sergei Furgal, former governor of the region of Khabarovsk in Russia’s Far East, prompted widespread protests that have taken on a distinctly anti-government edge. This has laid bare some of the Kremlin’s and incumbent United Russia party’s political vulnerabilities in the Far East.
Belarus has developed its own oil supply diversification strategy. However, the country might ultimately use this to secure better terms of cooperation with Russian companies, rather than to reduce its overall dependency on Moscow.