Briefing Paper

A Return to East of Suez?
UK Military Deployment to the Gulf

Britain may be on course to become more directly involved in Gulf security as the US reorients towards the Far East and Pacific Rim.

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Posts analysing the latest defence and security stories

China flag Analysis: China’s Stock Market Crash Threatens Her Global Power Ambitions 27 Aug 2015 by Dr Jonathan Eyal
China’s stock market crash is not the beginning of a global economic downturn, or the start of a Chinese recession. But it is a reminder of just how fragile China remains, and how far it still is from the status of a global power. Pacific China
Finace currency Analysis: Terror on the Cheap: Financing Lone Actor and Small Cell Attacks 17 Aug 2015 by Tom Keatinge
As recent reports highlight the increasing risk of Daesh-inspired lone actor or small cell homeland terrorist attacks, an urgent recalibration of terrorist-finance disruption efforts is required to include both funds flowing to Syria/Iraq and those raised to be used at home. Organised Crime Terrorism
RAF Tornado Planes over Iraq Videos: RAF Tornado Planes over Iraq 5 Aug 2015 by Elizabeth Quintana
RUSI's Senior Research Fellow on Air Power and Technology, Elizabeth Quintana, examines the UK's latest decision to extend Tornado strikes in Iraq. The jets - due to be disbanded last March - are to be kept in service until "at least" March 2017 to continue air strikes, he said on a visit to Iraq. Aerospace Iraq UK
Financial crime Analysis: Navigating Sanctions: HM Treasury Guides Half the Way 30 Jul 2015 by Tom Keatinge
The UK Summer Budget provided more detail and commitment of HM Treasury’s plans to establish an Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation. It is a welcome initiative but needs to ensure both compliance and critically, facilitate continued trade, if it is to succeed. Organised Crime UK
Serrat_money_thumbnail Analysis: Anti-Money Laundering and its Challenges 29 Jul 2015 by Dr Inês Sofia de Oliveira
International anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism finance (AML/CTF) standards are largely governed by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). FATF’s strength rests on its ability to demonstrate that its efforts are advancing global AML/CTF. But is FATF free from challenges to its own existence? Organised Crime
News: 2% defence spending target will be met thanks to combination of real-terms increases and accounting rules changes 27 Jul 2015
The UK government will be able to keep to its commitment to spend 2% of national income on defence through to 2020 as a result of both an annual real term increase of 0.5% a year, and significant changes in the UK’s calculation of its defence budget for NATO reporting purposes, according to a new RUSI Briefing Paper. UK Defence Defence Spending UK
Organised Crime Analysis: Does Crime Still Pay? 21 Jul 2015 by Helena Wood
The Proceeds of Crime Act 2002 (POCA) was brought in to galvanise law enforcement’s efforts to undermine the criminal business model and to remove one of the major drivers of organised and acquisitive crime – financial gain. Despite the recent legislative changes[i], has this initial policy aim been forgotten? Organised Crime
EU Iran negotiation Analysis: Explaining UN 'Snapback' in the Iran Deal 16 Jul 2015 by Timothy Stafford, Andrea Berger, Emil Dall
Mechanisms for dispute resolution and sanctions ‘snap back’ will be amongst the most important of the new Iran deal. They are also the most difficult to understand, and contain potentially problematic areas of ambiguity. Global Security Issues Iran's Nuclear Programme Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Iran
Iran Nuclear negotiations March 2015 Analysis: The Iran Deal: the 25-year Road from Vienna 16 Jul 2015 by Shashank Joshi
The Iranian nuclear deal agreed in Vienna may be one of the most important post-Cold War diplomatic accords. But it is important to understand how it evolves over the coming decades. Global Security Issues Iran's Nuclear Programme Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Middle East and North Africa Iran
Tackling Organised Crime and Illicit Finance Analysis: Serious and Organised Crime in the Digital Age 15 Jul 2015 by Clare Ellis
The National Strategic Assessment of Serious and Organised crime highlights the growing significance of technology in driving criminal innovation; however, as many police forces struggle to adapt to the digital age, this raises questions about the UK’s ability to tackle the evolving threat. Organised Crime Technology Cyber

Analysis from RUSI publications

Articles from RUSI periodicals: RUSI Journal, RUSI Newsbrief and RUSI Defence Systems

Putin Navy thumbnail RUSI Defence Systems: Russia’s New Maritime Doctrine: Attacking NATO’s Sea Lanes of Communication in the Atlantic – Part I of II: Intent and Feasibility 21 Aug 2015 by Dr Igor Sutyagin
How seriously should the West take the thinly veiled Russian threat against Atlantic shipping in recent doctrine? Maritime Forces NATO Russia
GCHQ thumbnail RUSI Defence Systems: Towards a New National Cyber Security Strategy 5 Aug 2015 by Ewan Lawson
As cyberspace continues to prove a challenging environment, the British government needs to consider how it will respond to future threats, not only practically but philosophically Resilience Cyber Intelligence UK
F-35 production line thumbnail RUSI Defence Systems: Sixth-Generation Fighters in 2030: A Realistic Prospect? 24 Jul 2015 by Justin Bronk
A ‘5.5 generation Super Raptor’, based on an evolution of the F-22 design concept or of the F-35 once the latter has matured in service, is a more likely prospect than operational sixth-generation fighter aircraft by 2030 Aerospace Technology Equipment and Acquisitions
PLAN thumbnail RUSI Defence Systems: China’s Defence White Paper: Prospects for More Expansive Power Projection 16 Jul 2015
The strategic vision outlined in China’s recent defence White Paper points to a will to project state power beyond its immediate environs. China’s regional neighbours are right to be concerned Aerospace Maritime Forces Pacific China
Sniper thumbnail afghanistan RUSI Defence Systems: Has the War on Terror Created a New Breed of Military Sniper? 10 Jul 2015 by Justin Bronk
The prolonged counterinsurgency campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq drove a significant evolution of the military sniper in terms of role, equipment, tactics and lethality Land Forces Counter-insurgency Equipment and Acquisitions Armed Forces
US-South Korea RUSI Newsbrief: Regaining Control: The Future of US-South Korean Combined Defence 7 Jul 2015
The US and South Korea must work together to develop their new joint concept of operations while the latter prepares to take command of its forces during wartime US Defence Policy North Korea United States
Wildlife crime RUSI Newsbrief: Countering Poaching and Wildlife Crime: Engaging from the Ground Up 7 Jul 2015 by Cathy Haenlein, Tom Maguire
The bias towards militarised anti-poaching narratives needs to be rebalanced in favour of greater engagement with local communities in source areas (Free access) Africa
Gulf Cooperation Council RUSI Newsbrief: Economic Integration in the Gulf Cooperation Council: Lessons from the EU 7 Jul 2015
The Gulf Cooperation Council needs strong institutions which can enforce the rules of its single market European Union The Gulf Region
Netanyahu 2 RUSI Newsbrief: Taking Care of the Tribe: The Road Ahead under Netanyahu 7 Jul 2015
Despite his remarkable election victory, Netanyahu will remain hostage to myriad forces when it comes to Israeli foreign policy European Union Israel United States

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