Nigeria’s Opaque Jihad: Insurgency in Africa’s Richest Nation
The kidnapping of girls in Chibok by Boko Haram has increased the international spotlight on Nigeria. The dilemma for the international community at this point is to understand this complicated environment, but also to make sure the interest is not simply transitory.
16 May 2014
Narendra Modi as Prime Minister: Engagement, Continuity and Reform
Considering his past reputation, the frontrunner to be Indian Prime Minister will have his work cut-out to prove he is not a pariah. In foreign policy,Narendra Modi needs to balance the muscular approach demanded by his supporters and his newfound mercantilist pragmatism.
15 May 2014
Colombia’s Long Road to Peace
Disarmament, Demobilisation and Reintegration (DDR) could form a central pillar of a lasting peace in Colombia. But how can you make it attractive for those heavily involved in organised crime, which profit the most from the country’s internal conflict?
15 May 2014
Russia with Crimea: Back in the USSR?
Today’s Victory Day Parade (9 May) was poignant for Russia with Vladimir Putin flying to newly-annexed Crimea to celebrate the Soviet victory in the Second World War. Past Soviet glories provide a useful cultural and political backdrop for the Russian president as he deals with the ongoing Ukrainian Crisis.
9 May 2014
Crisis in Ukraine: How Effective are Sanctions against Russia?
As Russia piles on the pressure on Ukraine, the West is responding through targeted sanctions against the Russian elite. A robust sanctions framework will only be effective if it can demonstrate that the West will accept some financial pain.
6 May 2014
Ukraine Crisis: The Strategic Importance of Slavyansk
The Ukranian city of Slavyansk has become the focus in a game of deterrence and brinkmanship that Kiev and Moscow feel compelled to play and in which, despite evident Russian military planning, neither is likely to be in full control.
1 May 2014
Ukraine: Quiet Support for Russia Will Harm China's Long-Term Interests
Though China is reticent over aspects of Russia’s behaviour in Ukraine, the general assumption in Beijing is that China could benefit from the Ukraine crisis. But a more careful look at the potential fallout from the showdown indicates that China’s strategic horizons are not as rosy as currently assumed.
11 Apr 2014
Tensions Over Ukraine: Where Does China Sit?
On the growing crisis over Ukraine, China has remained quietly supportive of Russia. Yet, Russia overestimates and exaggerates China’s level of support that is closer to acquiescence rather than actual support for the turmoil that Russia is engendering.
11 Apr 2014
US-Russia Diplomatic Feelers Over Ukraine: Based on Wrong Assumptions
The US and Russia have vowed to continue negotiations aimed at defusing the Ukraine crisis. But the current diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Moscow will achieve nothing, since they are based on wrong US assumptions and may encourage the worst Russian instincts.
7 Apr 2014
Thick As Thieves: European Criminals Take to Syria’s Battlefield
Individuals with known criminal histories are a surprisingly common feature of the current Syrian battlefield. While their motives may be a combination of redemption and opportunism, returnees in this mode pose a complicated threat picture for security services to process if they return.
31 Mar 2014
Terrorism in China: Seeing the Threat Clearly
Recent Western and Chinese media focus on terrorism in Xinjiang has diverted attention away from the greater threat that Beijing faces from its ethnic Uighur population: namely a repeat of the large-scale rioting that hit the regional capital of Urumqi in 2009.
31 Mar 2014
Ukraine's Ground Forces
Having effectively annexed Crimea, Russia now threatens the territorial integrity of the rest of Ukraine. How are Ukraine's ground forces configured to deal with the challenge? Dr Igor Sutyagin, RUSI Research Fellow for Russia Studies has researched the following map.
27 Mar 2014
Rifts in the Gulf, What Lies Ahead?
The decision by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain to withdraw their Ambassadors from Qatar has the potential to turn into a genuine diplomatic crisis.
13 Mar 2014
Ethnicity and Language in Ukraine
In justifying military intervention in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has expressed determination to ‘defend’ those he considers as ‘Russians’ throughout the former Soviet Union. But the definition of who is a Russian varies, and is particularly opaque in Ukraine’s case.
12 Mar 2014
The UK’s Naval Nuclear Reactors: Ageing Ungracefully?
Worrying reactor test results have prompted the Ministry of Defence to schedule an unexpected reactor replacement for the UK’s oldest nuclear-armed submarine, at a cost of Ł120 million. If forensic tests exacerbate these concerns, the financial costs of reactor replacement may not be the UK’s only worry.
11 Mar 2014