Ankara Embraces Regime Change: Zero Problems and the Syrian Crisis
Turkey's recent foreign policy goal of being at peace with her neighbours is now in tatters as it lobbies for full-scale military intervention in Syria. Unlike the United States, Turkey's strategy now involves regime change, not just punitive military strikes.
10 Sep 2013
Germany's Syria Policy: The Art of the Possible
Unlike France, Germany is the other major European power that has stopped short of military intervention in Syria. Nevertheless, the country has adopted a tough diplomatic posture towards Syria and could deploy militarily if there is an international mandate.
3 Sep 2013
Parliament's Decision on Syria: Pulling Our Punches
The UK Parliament's decision not to intervene militarily in Syria marked an important watershed in UK defence and security policy. The consequences will be examined with interest by allies and potential adversaries alike.
30 Aug 2013
Assad's Allies are Only Just Warming Up
If the West must attack Syria, then it must be limited to give Assad a bloody nose and nothing more. Otherwise they shift the tide in favour of the rebels and elicit greater support from Assad's allies, who have greater reach into Syria.
30 Aug 2013
Eyes over Syria: Using Drones to Monitor Atrocities
The Syrian government has rejected 'utterly and completely' US claims that there was 'undeniable' proof of a regime-initiated chemical attack last week. To determine the truth, and deter further atrocities, we should deploy unarmed and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV's).
27 Aug 2013
How Might Syria Come Back to the UK?
Day by day, the Syrian Civil War is attracting foreign fighters, particularly from Europe. While there is no clear evidence of such individuals being sent back to carry out terrorist acts, historically similar jihadist battlefields have produced terrorist threats of one form or another.
19 Aug 2013
Honeymoon in Tehran: Rouhani's first 100 days
Since his election as Iranian President, many Western commentators welcomed Hassan Rouhani as a 'moderate'. However, his cautious choice of a new Cabinet point to an administration focused on economic reconstruction rather than political change.
15 Aug 2013
Explaining Ergenekon: Civil Military Relations in Turkey's Post-Coup Era
For many in Turkey, the case against leading officers represents an end to the military's meddling in civilian politics. But the AKP government has failed to pursue with the same vigour, more prosaic changes to Turkish law that would help instil more civilian oversight over the Turkish armed forces.
7 Aug 2013
Al-Qa'ida's August Surprise?
US officials are speaking of a level of terrorist chatter as high as that prior to 11 September 2001. With Embassy closures across the Muslim world, large-scale prison breaks in Iraq, Libya and Pakistan, the threat tempo is rising. Is Al-Qa'ida planning an August surprise?
5 Aug 2013
The Shia and the Battle for Survival
It could be argued that for the Shia of Iraq - who have consolidated power after decades, if not centuries of oppression - the Syrian conflict has transformed itself from one simply about realpolitik or a battle for the region to a battle for the very survival of the Shia.
30 Jul 2013
The National Risk Register's Value to Business and Communities
The 2013 National Risk Register (NRR) of civil emergencies was published by the government on 11 July. The risk profile for most communities and businesses remains complex and unpredictable, heightening the value of the general measures of resilience and business continuity planning that the NRR promotes.
26 Jul 2013
The Risks and Rewards of Alternative Approaches to Trident
The security risks posed by an alternative 'non-continuous' nuclear posture, as outlined in last week's Trident Alternatives Review, are inherently subjective. Financial (rather than strategic) arguments may come to dominate the alternatives debate - something the Liberal Democrats should bear in mind.
23 Jul 2013