Will America Look South? US Policy in Latin America
Latin America received a brief, but important, mention in the recent US presidential debates. However the region’s importance to the US is pronounced and will only grow in the future. The US needs to take tangible steps to better relations with the region and its important players.
By Michael Shifter
26 Oct 2012
Kuwait Enters an Uncertain and More Violent Era
Kuwait’s opposition have announced they are boycotting upcoming Parliamentary elections after an Emiri decree changed the election law. This will worsen the political divide and escalate the violence of clashes.
25 Oct 2012
Lebanon in Limbo: No Escaping the Syrian Gales
The 14 October assassination of top intelligence official Wissam al-Hassan has underscored that Lebanon cannot disconnect itself from Syria. The Lebanese state will be put under severe stress in the months ahead.
24 Oct 2012
Assessing American Power: Defence and Security Survey 2012
RUSI's third annual survey of its defence and security community assesses the role and place in the United States in the world. Published during the US presidential election campaign, the survey takes stock of the Obama presidency and the proespects for US foreign policy.
24 Oct 2012
US Power: Both Candidates Will be Constrained by the Same Strategic Choices
Retrenchment will be the dominating theme for US foreign policy whoever wins the presidential elections on 6 November. The next president will face a protectionist Congress; a military undergoing huge defence cuts; and a public opinion that has lost interest in foreign affairs and feels that nation-building should begin at home.
23 Oct 2012
How the Two Candidates Approach the Islamic World
Barack Obama was elected four years ago on the promise of a rapprochement with the Arab and Islamic world. His failure to effectively implement that vision, coupled with anti-American protests and the murder of a US Ambassador in Libya, have resulted in widespread disappointment. But will Mitt Romney’s promise of being more hard-nosed help the situation?
23 Oct 2012
Asia and the US Elections: Foreign Policy Challenges
The US presidential elections will be watched in Asia for further clues of how the American focus on Asia will manifest in practice over the next four years. Understanding how different Asian states respond according to their own circumstances will keep the next US administration very busy indeed.
23 Oct 2012
Trouble in the East China Sea
Potential exploitation of the energy reserves has transformed the Ryukyu island chain issue into a flashpoint for nationalist sensitivities in Japan and China. In the context of leadership transitions in China and possibly Japan, this could escalate into a significant regional issue.
23 Oct 2012
Iran’s Currency Wars
The recent collapse in the value of Iran’s currency symbolises Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s presidency: one of political and economic mismanagement. There is an economic imperative for the next president to end Iran’s international isolation or the Islamic Republic will face even greater economic pain.
17 Oct 2012
The Bolivarian Revolution Strikes Back
Having won a fourth six-year term in office, Venezuela’s President Hugo Chávez has ensured that his Bolivarian Revolution will prevail for now. However, despite having secured victory at the polls, key security challenges and the risk that a political crisis could still unfold in Venezuela in the period ahead have not disappeared.
12 Oct 2012
NATO’s Treaty Obligations to Turkey: Theory and Practice
With the violence in Syria spilling into Turkey; Turkey as a NATO member has the right to call on the support of the alliance under Article 5. However implementing collective security is always more complex, thus a full scale NATO response in Syria is unlikely.
5 Oct 2012
Turkey Lashing Out At Syria: A Sign of Frayed Nerves In Ankara
Turkey's recent diplomatic offensive has been brought to an abrupt end by the Syrian conflict which spilled into Turkey last night. Last night's violence has revealed the weakness in Ankara's position resulting from its failed approach to the Syria Crises.
4 Oct 2012
The US and the Arab World: The Failures of Engagement
The recent protests in the Middle East may have been sparked by the anti-Islamic film produced in the US, but Middle Eastern opinion has been shaped to a much larger degree by US foreign policy rather than its cinematography.
18 Sep 2012
BAE Systems-EADS Merger: Dealing with the Concerns
The proposed merger of BAE Systems and EADS has naturally attracted a number of concerns, from safeguarding sovereign defence industries to job cuts through rationalisation. But are these concerns with foundation?
14 Sep 2012
The Merger Between EADS and BAE Systems is Long-Overdue
The marriage between EADS and BAE Systems is logical as the defence market shrinks further and the United States pivots towards Asia. The challenge will lie in the governments that influence these two firms.
14 Sep 2012
A Tornado in a Teacup? Examining Germany's Alleged Nuclear Strike Aircraft Modernisation
Leaked information to the German press alleges that the coalition government has reneged on a previous pledge to remove US tactical nuclear weapons from Germany. The subsequent reporting frenzy heightens the decades-long national anxiety over nuclear issues. But it seems no one has paused to ask whether the original allegations stand-up to scrutiny.
7 Sep 2012
With Al-Shabaab on the Run, Kenya Moves on Kismaayo
After nearly a year in Somalia, Kenya is preparing to commence its assault on Kismaayo, Al-Shabaab’s strategic and financial outpost, and the current front line of the concerted counter-insurgency campaign in southern Somalia. With Merca just fallen, could this prove the boon to the KDF’s expeditionary gamble?
5 Sep 2012