http://www.rusi.org/ web@rusi.org en-us Copyright 2013 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A5183D2A615E9E/ As the first such salvo under Kim Jong-un, the intentions behind the latest round of hostile rhetoric emanating from North Korea have been difficult to interpret (Free access) 2013-05-03 16:07:19 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C5162FD285B6E8/ In the Korean peninsula, the risk of war remains much lower than is suggested by the atmosphere of crisis, but a great deal will depend on what level of escalation Pyongyang deems necessary for political and deterrent purposes. 2013-04-08 18:29:52 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:V515D477BBF83E/ RUSI Research Fellow Andrea Berger argues North Korea's recently belligerent statements against the United States will not necessarily lead to war. 2013-04-04 10:27:47 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C513F1BC1A133D/ The continuing development of North Korea's nuclear and missile capabilities is testing the readiness and long-term planning of South Korea's missile defences. The plans will undoubtedly be overshadowed by Chinese concerns. 2013-03-12 12:13:17 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C511D0CC77E188/ North Korea’s latest nuclear test has resulted in a familiar chorus of international condemnation. Surprisingly, the only meaningful change in rhetoric has come from the regime itself. Pyongyang now implies its nuclear programme is no longer up for negotiation. 2013-02-14 16:17:25 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C511AB38616388/ Seismic signals detected around the world indicate that North Korea has successfully conducted its third nuclear test, and taken a step towards a more potent nuclear deterrent. But without more information, it is very hard to say just how big this step is. 2013-02-12 21:30:59 http://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N5107F8EE5645C/ In November 2012, a RUSI delegation travelled to Pyongyang, the North Korean capital, for extensive, ground-breaking nuclear talks - the first of their kind by a British organisation in recent years. 2013-01-29 16:32:01 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C50EED63E6E763/ While the leadership transitions of 2012 have altered this year's political landscape, they have left the nuclear agenda for 2013 regrettably unchanged. Thankfully, this new backdrop may provide opportunities to find new solutions to old problems. 2013-01-10 14:57:26 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C50CEF654B368A/ With North Korea’s recent missile test capturing the world’s attention, China’s response to its old ally’s transgressions will be critical for any chance of progress. With new leadership in Beijing, is there the possibility for a change in China’s approach? 2012-12-17 10:40:30 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EF095407BACF/ As North Korea’s leadership transitions, Kim Jong-un will have to contend with a region that is undergoing significant geopolitical change whilst also dealing with possible challenges to his own fledgling regime. 2011-12-20 14:01:58 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4E316434151DE/ Tensions are rising in Southeast Asia as the maritime interests of China, the US and other regional powers collide 2011-07-28 14:31:00 http://www.rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4D9EF25A86F6F/ North Korean actions in 2010 have revealed that the Sino–US relationship continues to be particularly important to the Korean peninsula 2011-04-08 12:33:21 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CEE2DD1DE56B/ RUSI experts analyse the latest artillery exchange between North and South Korea 2010-11-25 09:36:36 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4CED521424D94/ With tensions rising on the Korean peninsula, how is the North's succession likely to unfold? 2010-11-24 17:57:43 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CECD59D0EF3D/ The artillery exchange on 23 November 2010 between North and South Korea will heighten tensions but will not lead to an all out war. 2010-11-24 09:08:22 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4BF66E77B2764/ As the South Korean government formally accuses Pyongyang of sinking it's warship in March, it is also resisting popular demands for retaliation. Instead Seoul will bolster efforts to exact international penalties on North Korea. 2010-05-21 12:35:36 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4BF567C735352/ The sinking of the Cheonan presents some tough choices for South Korea. How will it respond? 2010-05-20 17:48:11 http://www.rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4AEB0BBD929DD/ How the US handles South Korea's drive towards nuclear fuel reprocessing capacity may prove to be a definitive case study 2009-10-30 15:52:42 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A2D1215BB2A1/ North Korea’s recent military posturing has increased international interest in Kim Jong-il’s successor. Focus is now directed toward Kim Jong-un, third son of Kim Jong-il and reportedly heir apparent. In this commentary John Hemmings examines the challenges his young age and limited time to forge alliances with key members of the leadership will pose to his future rule and regional stability. 2009-06-08 14:35:03 http://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N4A23C0D1B9C83/ Citations of RUSI expert analysis and events in the global media: May 2009 2009-05-31 12:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A1C28F4C4E47/ Testing nuclear devices forces reflection on North Korea’s history of diplomatic strategy and disrepute, whilst posing problems for future negotiation. 2009-05-26 18:40:04 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A1C0F88E6CDD/ North Korea’s most recent nuclear testing has provoked international outrage, but the challenges here come with a foreboding of an ‘American strategic disaster’ further afield. 2009-05-26 16:53:19 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49E5F1563CC22/ North Korea continues to play games with its regional neighbours, shielded in part by its Cold War allies in the United Nations Security Council, and emboldened by its tactics and growing military capabilities. The question is what can anyone do about it? 2009-04-15 15:44:30 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C496F3C95E6011/ With a new ruler certain to take up power in 2009, North Korea’s state will undergo substantial changes in substance and in form. The international community must pay close attention to the ongoing palace drama in Pyongyang and ready themselves to deal with the strategic and humanitarian consequences of such changes. 2009-01-15 13:43:14 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A488755A15CC45/ This article explains the reasons for the differing treatment the Iranian and North Korean nuclear threats have recieved from the West, highlighting that the threat from Iran is greater than that of North Korea. 2008-07-23 17:02:02 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C486651EB72D3C/ A picture-perfect example of political manoeuvring, but key questions remain unanswered 2008-06-28 16:02:01 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4767F7FC47AEB/ In the run up to the South Korean Presidential election, a number of significant events are taking place that will impact North-South relations. 2007-12-18 16:45:12 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A46F7BD8F8F681/ This article examines whether North Korea now poses any less of a menacing threat to its neighbours and if full denuclearization can be achieved. 2007-09-24 14:37:27 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C46A4BD5DAEDD5/ Negotiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behaviour - by Scott Snyder is reviewed by John Hemmings 2007-07-23 15:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A45618B6D8FDD6/ With the United States confirming that Pyongyang had indeed, as it claimed, conducted an underground nuclear test on 9 October, this article analyzes the effects of the bomb on the country, region and international community. 2006-11-20 11:03:39 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4534C62EF11B3/ The end of ambiguity about Pyongyang's nuclear capacity raises fundamental questions affecting China, the United States, and the future of international non-proliferation strategy. Indirectly, these consequences could actually work to the advantage of the West in its attempts to prevent Iran 'going nuclear'. 2006-10-17 13:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N45488F879AD78/ "China will have to compromise in terms of tolerating a nuclear power on its doorstep -- its primary aim is to retain regime stability in North Korea," said Alexander Neill, head of the Asia Programme at Britain's Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies. 2006-10-15 12:15:00 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A452E16D356565/ For a US president facing mid-term elections from a position of weakness, this is hardly the best moment to make momentous decisions on North Korea and Iran 2006-10-12 11:20:05 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C452B99CB92A20/ North Korean Crisis: Key US Players 2006-10-10 14:05:44 http://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N4548909B5BD6D/ The process involves fitting to a missile what is called a "bus" on which the warheads sit, covered by a cone, said Dr Lee Willett, a defence analyst at the Royal United Services Institute. 2006-10-09 15:15:00 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C452A2EE661B39/ The detonation of a North Korean nuclear bomb is an attempt to dictate the future of the Korean peninsula on its own terms. 2006-10-09 12:17:04 http://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N45489153509CF/ Alex Neill, Head of Asia Security program at Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, discusses the effects its action has had on the rest of the international community and what message it sends to other potential nuclear states, especially Iran. 2006-10-09 12:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C452A3FAC780F7/ The UN Security Council is certain to impose sanctions on North Korea. But, since these are likely to involve – at least initially – just cutting off trade and diplomatic contacts, no significant impact is expected. 2006-10-09 10:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7954444b/ 2004-06-18 12:23:43 http://www.rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7d8ad3fb/ The recent trilateral talks in Beijing that were supposed to herald the beginning of an end to the current crisis on the Korean peninsula appear to have only succeeded in further escalating the tensions in this already volatile region. 2003-06-01 12:00:00 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:J40d32ea8c40de/ Weapons of Mass Destruction, (WMD), USA, Nuclear Weapons, Proliferation 2003-01-01 09:00:00