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Nov 2008, Vol. 28, No. 11
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RUSI Newsbrief

Monthly briefings on current issues in international defence and security and the military sciences.
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The European Defence Agency There seems to be a widespread consensus in Europe that immediate action is required if European countries are not to fall irrevocably behind the United States in military terms.
Tim Williams
East Asia MapThe Dragon Flies and the Phoenix Dances: An East Asian Renaissance? The World Bank has officially confirmed that an ‘East Asian renaissance’ is upon us. But we must be careful to treat this Asian boom as a purely economic phenomenon and to heed the core aspects of this economic renaissance.
Alexander Neill
Taiwan flagTaiwan's New Presidency: A Golden Opportunity for Regional Stability The recent electoral victory for the Kuomintang has the potential to lead to a thaw in Sino-Taiwanese relations.
Dr Francis Yi-hua Kan
McCain 3The Next Four Years? American Foreign Policy Under John McCain As the US presidential elections draw ever closer, Michael Williams assesses the foreign policy outlook of Republican nominee, Senator John McCain
Michael Williams
China's Dangerous Energy Nexus Over energy security, the United States and China are starting to find themselves bound into a cycle of mutual distrust.

RUSImotifDivided Loyalties This article discusses the relationship between South and North Korea.
James A. Foley
RUSImotifBurma's Political Crisis Deepens as the Country's Top Generals Begin to Fall Out Burma's political future is at a crucial crossroads.
Larry Jagan
McCain SarkozyA New League of Democracies? Republican nominee Senator John McCain has proposed the creation of a new 'League of Democracies', though how 'new' is the idea and how committed to it will he be once the election is over?
Laura Bridge
WhitehallWhitehall Watch: The Met Office - Committed to Change Reliable predictions of climate and weather systems have grown ever more important in modern warfare.
Wayne Elliott and Derrick Ryall
Boom or Bust? European Military Spending in NATO This article investigates the ability of Europe's militaries to meet the challenges of a changing world
Matthew Smith
China America FlagSino-American Relations and the New American President Despite all that has changed in the US after 9/11 and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the most important bilateral relationship which the US needs to nurture is with China.
Lloyd Thrall
Obama revolutionThe Obama Revolution Barack Obama’s campaign shook up American politics; this article questions whether his presidency will have a similar effect on international affairs. It lays out the likely immediate changes which will be seen in US foreign policy and outlines the possible stance his administration will take on other pressing concerns.
Lisa Aronsson
Lee Myung-bak smallChina and South Korea: Taking Each Other’s Measure President Myung Lee-bak’s summit visit to Beijing in May 2008 was declared a success by officials on both sides. Yet upon closer inspection the relationship remains one of the most problematic and complex in the region.
John Hemmings
EU flagThe Upcoming French Presidency of the European Union The French Presidency of the EU has been a key item on the strategic calendar of European capitals over the last year. An underlying feeling of both anticipation and reserve can be felt across Europe.
Alastair Cameron
Climate Change – The Gathering Momentum of the Security Debate There has been a veritable ‘tidal wave’ of political capital expended on the topic of climate change. Within this new focus of political and media attentions, the topic of climate change as a security issue has become an increasingly debated area by academics and politicians alike.
Dr Tobias Feakin
Treaty of RomeEU at Fifty: Still Looking for Love Reflecting on the European Union's first fifty years, Sir Paul Lever considers the current challenges facing the European project.
Sir Paul Lever
NATO's Quiet Deployment NATO’s response to Hurricane Katrina may signal a fruitful new approach to operational decision-making within the Alliance.
Mark Joyce
The View from King Charles Street The days of grand design in British foreign policy seem to have gone.
Sir Paul Lever
President SarkozyUK-France Helicopter Initiative: ‘De-institutionalised’ Co-operation between NATO and the EU? When President Nicolas Sarkozy traveled to London on a recent state visit, everyone from Downing Street to Windsor was captivated by Dior-clad Carla Bruni-Sarkozy, his chanteuse-supermodel wife.
Alexis Crow
Nuclear signUS-EU Differences in Nuclear Non-Proliferation Both the US and EU agree on the substance of the threat from nuclear proliferation. However, there is divergence of the preferred means for ensuring non-proliferation.
Sara Kutchesfahani
Africa SatelliteThe US, the UK and Sub-Saharan Africa: Evaluating Past and Re-thinking Future Policies Following the defeat of Republicans in the US Congress, US foreign policy on Africa will remain relatively static until after 2008.
Knox Chitiyo
The Second "Hundred Years' War"? It might just be that the interventions of the 1990’s, ‘Blair’s Wars’ and the ‘War on Terror’, will find their places in history as the beginnings of a Second Hundred Years’ War.
By Amyas Godfrey
China America FlagA Glimpse of Clarity in China’s Military Modernisation The annual Pentagon report is now an integral part of the ‘China threat’ debate and has evolved to become both the comprehensive lexicon of the Chinese military order of battle and a benchmark for the analysis of the PLA.
Alexander Neill
‘UK Stabilization Efforts’: The PCRU in Context In the three years after the inception of the Post-Conflict Reconstruction Unit (PCRU), it has become clear that the unit is trying hard to prove its worth in the current international climate.
John Hemmings
More Style than Substance? The German Government Six Months in Power Looking back at the first six months in power, Angela Merkel has steadily emerged as the European leader to watch.
Sebastian Gerlach
Democracy in the Middle East: Handle with Care If Islamism is the democratic choice in the Middle East, it must be greeted with the same respect afforded all other democracies, and treated as equally legitimate.
Turi Munthe
The Road to Jerusalem Democracy must be allowed to breathe freely in the post-Arafat Palestine
Turi Munthe
Resource Civil Wars This article argues that global warming and environmental destruction will lead to international realignments that could have serious domestic repercussions within those states that make them.
Roger Howard
Australia's Strategic Dilemmas The next Australian government will face some tough dilemmas in international policy, especially in defence and security.
Rory Medcalf
African Union troopsGuns, not Roses: A New Era for the African Union Forces? These are the best of times and the worst of times for the African Union and the African Union forces. This is a new era of opportunity and high expectation in the realms of development, governance and conflict resolution.
Tapera Knox Chitiyo
Soviet troops in AfghanistanSoviet Lessons for NATO in Afghanistan Does the Soviet experience have any relevance for the international forces in the country today?
Greg Mills and Martin Edmonds
The Media, the MoD and the hand-over of Power Now that power has been transferred back to the Iraqis are we about to see a change in the characteristics of the news reporting in Iraq?
Nick Bell
Gaza Withdrawal and the Security Quagmire The announcement of the Israeli plan for a Gaza withdrawal – whether tied to the Roadmap or not – couldn’t come at a worst time for those charged with maintaining security in the Gaza Strip.
Beverley Milton-Edwards
Is Israel Winning the War on Terrorism? Looking at a decreasing number of casualities, together with the fact that Hamas has so far been unable to mount a retaliation, raises the obvious question – “Is Israel winning in its ‘war against terror’”?
author
The Istanbul Initiative? Finding a Real Role for NATO in the Middle East and North Africa Everyone is talking about it. The idea that NATO might deploy its troops in Iraq to plug the security gap is the issue of the day, the sexiest subject on the agenda at the Istanbul Summit at the end of June.
Daniel Neep
The Royal Navy’s Unique Selling Points The question is what can maritime forces contribute to military operations that are most useful in the current operational climate?
Ellie Goldsworthy
Morocco:A Strange Climate of Insecurity Al-Qaida, Mediterranean
Jon Marks