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RUSI Analysis on the crisis in Georgia

Cutting-edge analysis and comment from the world's oldest defence and security think tank
RUSI Analysis on the crisis in Georgia
The recent outbreak of conflict in South Ossetia has again focussed the attention of the international community on Georgia's dilemma: western leaning, but most definitely in the shadow of its former ruling power.

International Security Studies Dept.


Commentary

After Georgia, we are on our way to a hostile climate in East-West relations
Georgia’s ‘mini war’ may be over, but its implications will reverberate for years to come. Russian-Western relations will nosedive, and the East Europeans will push both NATO and the EU into adopting more hostile policies towards Russia. The US will also start to take the Russian challenge more seriously. A new ‘Cold War’ is not inevitable, but a hostile climate in East-West relations is now a certainty.
RUssian troops GeorgiaTesting times; Georgia’s gamble forces Europeans to take a long and hard look at its collective security agreements
As the conflict between Georgia and Russia unfolded in the Caucasus, the West found itself lacking any kind of meaningful riposte. In fact, the response from international bodies responsible for conflict management has been so timorous that it raises important questions regarding Europe’s collective security agreements.
Bush and SakashvilliiThe US, Georgia, and Russia
Unable to offer Georgia military support, the United States has been left in an uncomfortable position where it could not be seen to be abandoning one of its most important regional allies. Still worse lies ahead: it must reassure the East Europeans that the Georgia episode is not the start of a 'softer' policy towards Russia, and it may also have to rebut accusations that, through its vocal support for Georgia, it actually encouraged that country's leadership into the military adventure.
Kouchner Shakasvilii'We are Extremely Concerned': The EU and Georgia
As European foreign ministers gather for an emergency meeting and the diplomacy to halt the violence in Georgia intensifies, we must take stock of the performance of the EU’s foreign policy in this conflict. The conclusions are tentative, but still unmistakable: yet again, Europe scores poorly.
RUssian troops GeorgiaThe August 2008 South Ossetia Conflict: Revising the Status Quo
Georgia's military strategy seems to have relied upon a delayed Russian military response, due to Putin's absence from Moscow, and likely predicated on the belief that President Medvedev would not take any action without Putin being present. This strategy was flawed. As a result, Tblisi could see a consolidation of Russian control over South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Georgia FlagA frozen conflict turns red hot in Georgia
The outbreak of fighting between Russia and Georgia has brought Europe to one of the most dangerous moments in East-West relations since the end of the Cold War. And, if a ceasefire is not arranged in the next 24 hours, matters can get far worse. Europe’s ‘frozen conflicts’ are now red-hot.