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Europe and the Western Balkans: The Day after Kosovo's Independence

By Ognyan Minchev
18 Feb 2008

For many, Kosovo’s independence is now inevitable, but the assumption that the recognition of independence will be the final act in an effort to settle the conflicts of the Western Balkans will not prove to be realistic. The final status decision will create a new strategic situation on the ground that is not necessarily supportive to the purpose of fast-track integration of the Western Balkans into the European mainstream. The ramifications of Kosovar independence may cause further problems and complications for the Western Balkans. It could destabilise neighbours, bring nationalist radicals to power in Belgrade – despite the victory of Serbia’s President Tadic in the latest elections – or it may open space for further Russian strategic penetration into the region.

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