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Iran

Analysis by region

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Analysis: Is a Nuclear Iran as Dangerous As We Think? 27 Feb 2012 by Shashank Joshi
Pessimists warn that a nuclear Iran cannot be safely contained. But these risks - irrational behaviour, nuclear safety, and further proliferation - need to be dispassionately assessed and put into context. Iran Middle East and North Africa Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Global Security Issues

Analysis: Attacking Iran: Up in the air 27 Feb 2012 by Professor Malcolm Chalmers
RUSI's Malcolm Chalmers talks to The Economist newspaper on the risks involved in a pre-emptive strike against Iran's nuclear programme Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Global Security Issues Iran Middle East and North Africa

Analysis: The Israel Embassy Attacks: Where next for Iran and Israel? 14 Feb 2012 by Michael Stephens
The attacks against Israel diplomatic targets in India and Georgia may well usher in a new chapter in the covert war between Iran and Israel. The Jewish state may feel emboldened to retaliate decisively on an Iran that is becoming increasingly isolated in the Arab world. Iran Middle East and North Africa Middle East Peace

Analysis: ARGUMENTS AGAINST Military Intervention in Syria 8 Feb 2012 by David Roberts
Something needs to be done to stop the Syrian Army killing ever increasing number of its citizens. But Syria is far more complex than Libya and simply sending arms and further internationalising the Syrian Civil War will only exacerbate the war and elongate suffering. A more viable solution is for Arab states to use their muscle as energy suppliers to slow down the Assad regime. Middle East and North Africa Syria Iran The Gulf Region

Analysis: Iran and the West: Playing a Zero-Sum Game 11 Jan 2012 by Shashank Joshi
The killing of a nuclear scientist in Tehran may well be the latest in a line of skirmishes between Iran and its American-led adversaries. Both sides are playing a zero-game, and neither coercive actions nor more negotiations are likely to bring a durable settlement. Global Security Issues Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Iran Middle East and North Africa

Analysis: Aftershocks and Transitions: an Unashamedly Speculative Look at 2012 15 Dec 2011 by Shashank Joshi
If this year brought us an earthquake, then 2012 will be a year of aftershocks and transitions. Speculate as we might, we must still prepare for the predictable but watch for the surprises. India Central and South Asia Afghanistan Pakistan Egypt Middle East and North Africa The Gulf Region Libya Iran Iraq Middle East Peace Europe Pacific Americas

Analysis: Devaluing the Dual-Track Approach to Iran 2 Dec 2011 by Andrea Berger
With the ransacking of the British embassy in Tehran, the West has further shrunk its repository of policy options, leaving sanctions as the policy tool of choice. However, while sanctions may slow Iran's forays into the nuclear field, they are unlikely to divert their course entirely. Iran Middle East and North Africa Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Global Security Issues

RUSI Newsbrief: Saudi Arabia, Stability and the Arab Revolutions 23 Nov 2011 by David Roberts
Saudi Arabia's response to the Arab Spring has ranged from apparent inertia to the financing and leadership of counter-revolution, but at all times the stability of the kingdom has been its primary objective. Middle East and North Africa Iran The Gulf Region

Analysis: Iran's Nuclear Ambitions: A Steady Crawl to Breakout Capability 15 Nov 2011 by Professor Malcolm Chalmers, Andrea Berger
The International Atomic Energy Agency's latest report on Iran describes in unprecedented detail a country moving slowly towards a nuclear weapons option, rather than a bomb itself. This lack of a 'smoking gun' removes military response from the international community's toolbox of policy options. But this is no grounds for complacency. Iran Middle East and North Africa Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Strategy Global Security Issues

Analysis: Has Iran Provided the Justification for War? 18 Oct 2011 by David Roberts
Iran is accused of attempting to assassinate the Saudi Ambassador to the United States on American soil. It is the stuff of spy thrillers. If proved true, then both Saudi Arabia and the United States are well within their rights to declare war on Iran. Why would Iran embark on such an irrational action at a time of great internal and external vulnerability? Middle East and North Africa Iran

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The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect those of RUSI